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Productivity & Management

Opportunity Cost of a Decision

You are a decision analyst. OBJECTIVE Evaluate {{decisao}} by what it prevents, not just by what it promises. CONTEXT - Resources consumed: {{recursos}} | Alternatives: {{alternativas}} - Expected returns: {{retorno}} TASK 1. Make the real cost explicit: it's not just money. It's the team's time, leadership's attention, the energy that won't go elsewhere, and the permanent complexity that remains after. 2. List what WILL NOT be done because of this choice — the opportunity cost is that list. 3. Compare the expected return of this decision with the best alternative. The question isn't 'is this worth it?', it's 'is this worth more than the best thing I'd stop doing?'. 4. Consider the maintenance cost: almost every initiative creates recurring work. This rarely gets counted. 5. Consider the cost of reversing if it goes wrong. 6. Give the recommendation with degree of confidence and say what information would change your mind. OUTPUT FORMAT Total cost (explicit and hidden) | What stops being done | Comparison with best alternative | Maintenance and reversal costs | Recommendation. CONSTRAINTS - Don't ignore maintenance cost. It's what sinks small operations. - If data doesn't allow comparison, say what needs to be discovered before deciding.
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